College Football Picks: AH Analytics Week 1 Results (7-4 Record)

The House wins Week 1 of the College Football season. May have not been a big chunk plays, but keep getting 4-5 yards every down, you are eventually going to score.  If you’ve noticed the launch of AH Analytics, you know we kicked off the 2025 season with our Division III free tier picks – and we are off to a nice start. Our picks went 7-4 in Week 1, giving us a solid 63.6% win rate right out of the gate.

Our college football betting analysis showed that underdogs performed well in Week 1, with 3 of our 7 winning picks coming from teams getting points. This betting performance review highlights why our subscribers trust our judgment when it comes to finding value on the board.

Breaking Down Our Week 1 Winners

Let’s dive into what worked for us this week:

First Half Heroes: Akron +3.5 (First Half)

Akron trailed Wyoming just 0-3 at halftime on August 28, staying well within our +3.5 first half spread. This is exactly the kind of situational betting edge we look for – teams that might fade late but can hang tough early.

Total Points Perfection: Notre Dame/Miami Under 49.5

The Fighting Irish and Hurricanes battled to a 17-24 final on August 31, with the total landing at 41 points – well under our 49.5 line. Our detailed college football betting analysis had this pegged as a defensive struggle, and it played out exactly as we predicted.

Blowouts: Purdue -17.5 & Ole Miss Team Total Over 47.5

Purdue absolutely demolished Ball State 31-0 on August 30, easily covering the -17.5 spread. Meanwhile, Ole Miss put up a staggering 63 points against Georgia State, smashing through their team total of 47.5 points. When we see offensive mismatches, we pounce – and it paid off big time.

Spread Masters: Tennessee & Merrimack

Tennessee handled Syracuse with a comfortable 45-26 victory on August 30, covering the -13.5 spread by 5.5 points. On the flip side, Merrimack may have lost to Kent State 17-21, but they stayed within the +7 spread, giving us another win.

The Backdoor Cover: Marshall +38.5

Georgia dominated Marshall 45-7, but the 38-point margin was just enough for us to sneak in under the massive +38.5 spread. These huge spreads often provide value, and we were right on the money with this one.

Learning From Our Losses

We’re transparent about our sports betting results, sharing both wins and losses. Here’s where we missed in Week 1:

1. UNLV vs. Sam Houston State Over 61 – The final score of 38-21 (59 total points) fell just 2 points short of our over.
2. Alabama -13.5 – The Crimson Tide’s surprising 17-31 loss to Florida State was our biggest miss of the week.
3. Notre Dame -2.5 – The Fighting Irish couldn’t get it done against Miami, losing 17-24 outright.
4. Clemson -4 – The Tigers fell to LSU 10-17, failing to cover as favorites.

If you ask me which loss stings the most, it’s probably that UNLV over – just 2 points away from going 8-3! But that’s betting for you – sometimes the ball bounces the wrong way.

JOINTHEHOUSE: Your Ticket to Premium Picks

After seeing our Division III free tier go 7-4 in Week 1, we are excited to see the results from our premium tiers. For the first time ever, we’re offering 25% off all subscription tiers with promo code JOINTHEHOUSE.

This offer is only valid until kickoff on September 6th at 12pm EST, so don’t wait around. 

The detailed college football betting analysis helps our subscribers make informed decisions, and our sports betting promo code JOINTHEHOUSE makes it more affordable than ever to join.