Bets of the Day 7/27

A great slate of baseball on this fine Wednesday, so it’s time to lay out the best bets of the day. We’re looking at some NRFI, ML and an Over. 

No Runs First Inning

MIN (C. Archer) @ MIL (C. Burnes) (-113)

Corbin Burnes is on the mound for the Brew Crew, and even though he had a rare “tough start” for him (his pitch count got out of control early against the Rockies but he stilled managed to go 5IP of 2-run ball), he is Milwaukee’s Ace and a Cy Young contender, and the man doesn’t allow first inning runs.

On the other end, Chris Archer doesn’t offer much length for the Twins, but even while he averages about 4IP, he had an excellent June. He returned from the IL and was having an impressive start against the White Sox before giving up 4-runs, and was unable to get out of the 5th inning. But we only need him to have a good First.

SF (L. Webb) @ ARI (Z. Gallen) (-148)

A very even matchup on the mound for these teams. The Giants have been sliding, but Logan Webb has been every bit as good as last year. Although he has allowed a First Inning Run in his last two starts, I think we are in for a pitchers duel today. Just two weeks ago, Gallen allowed on two runs in 6 2/3 against this Giants team.

STL (A. Wainwright) @ TOR (K. Gausman) (-132)

Easily the riskiest NRFI bet here, the Blue Jays offense has been unstoppable for the past week, and they’ve won 9 of their last 10 and 7 in a row. It’s definitely a question of what Wainwright we will get tonight?; he let up 7 runs in 5 1/3 against the Reds his last outing, but before that he went 5 1/3 of no run ball against the Dodgers. The Blue Jays got to cool off at some point, so I’m banking on Wainwright to have his right stuff, at least for the first inning.

As for Gausman, it’s hard to say anything bad about him, but the Blue Jays made up for their lack of runs in games he started by hanging 28 on the Sox his last outing. He only had to go 5IP, but he had 10K.


Baltimore has played great baseball, and after a comeback win on Tuesday, they’re looking to increase their record and clinch a four game series victory against Tampa in game three. The Rays offense on the road has not been very good. And even though everyone complains about that ghastly wall in left field, the Orioles offense has been good at home. They’ve scored 5 or more runs in 4 of 5 games during this homestead. 

NYY @ NYM O 7.5

Quite honestly the Mets have a chance to get this over by themselves. The game last night got off to a scorching hot start, but the run total sat at 8 until the ninth inning when Jeff McNeil drove in the ninth run. The Mets worked Jordon Montgomery, and at 71 pitched through 2 1/3, Boone yanked him. The Yankees really need some depth from German tonight, but he got shelled his first outing against the Astros.

If there is any one thing bad you can say about Max Scherzer, it’s that he can get too aggressive. He has been susceptible at times to give up the long ball, because he really pounds the zone with his fastball. The Yankees are the best home run hitting team in the league. That seems to be their only bright spot tonight. Taijuan Walker didn’t have his best on Tuesday, but the Yankees only got 3 runs across and were 0-8 with RISP. I can’t imagine that will be much better against Scherzer. Conversely, I could see them getting a couple of home runs off some mistakes from Mad Max.

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